Search results for: Risk
-
1
Swab, Test, Self-Quarantine… Then Wait to Hear Your Fate
My son Nick has a dangerous job. Nick is a cop. He mans the front line against crime. But right now, my brother-in-law Chris just might have an even more dangerous job. Chris is also on the front line… confronting a pandemic that seems a lot scarier than crime these days. He runs the emergency ward of one of Seattle’s…
-
2
The Fed vs. Fundamentals
On Tuesday, the Fed announced an emergency 0.5% rate cut. It was a desperate move with a lot at stake. The risk that we face is a potential drawdown (decrease in stock prices) of 50% or more. These events happen every 10 years or so, and they almost always coincide with the peak of debt bubbles. And we’re very late…
-
3
Crypto and Market Update
As I write this, crypto is surging. Bitcoin is up 4.3% to $9,118. And ethereum is up 4%. Our altcoin portfolio is performing well today but has continued to struggle versus bitcoin. Bitcoin currently makes up 64% of the entire cryptocurrency market. During the peak of the crypto market in early 2018, bitcoin made up just 32% of the overall…
-
4
Market Updates for Stocks, Startups, Crypto and Cannabis
It’s been a crazy few weeks in markets. And with all of the market volatility, it makes sense to take a breath and think about how to invest in the current environment. So let’s look at four areas – stocks in general, startups, crypto and cannabis stocks. These are just my thoughts. And I may be wrong. But these are…
-
5
Venture Capital Insanity Should Help Crowdfunders
I’ve always been a big fundamentals guy. Unlike Silicon Valley, I’ve always preferred smart growth to dumb hypergrowth. So what I’m about to tell you might shock you… Silicon Valley investors have gone too far in trying to make up for their sins. They want to see profits NOW. And they’re not investing if they don’t. In what world do…
-
6
Don’t Believe These Myths About Startup Investing in a Down Market
Crowdfunders have never experienced a bear stock market. The stock market began its long bullish run in March 2009. And equity crowdfunding began in 2015. So should investors be nervous? Maybe. I don’t agree with everything Warren Buffett says. But he’s right on the mark when he says “It’s only when the tide goes out that you learn who’s been…
-
7
This Fragile Market
It’s been a bloody week for the market. But it’s important to remember that the S&P 500 is down only about 3% so far in 2020. And believe it or not, the market is still up 10% over the last year. I think we could be headed a lot lower. Even before the novel coronavirus happened, the market was fragile.…
-
8
Crypto Market Update: Coronavirus Uncertainty
Dear Member, Things have been looking up for crypto. Bitcoin’s bull market remains strong. The bitcoin halving coming up in May should keep things going. And altcoins are finally making some upward progress. Unfortunately, there is one X-factor I’m concerned about – the novel coronavirus. I have no idea how it will affect crypto markets. The market reaction to the…
-
9
Cannabis Portfolio Changes: Two Sells
Cannabis stocks have had a rough ride for the last nine months. We initiated our positions when pot stocks were already down 50% to 80% from all-time highs. But prices have fallen further since. As a result, I’m announcing some important changes to our Cannabis Portfolio. Sell Aurora Cannabis and Elixinol Global I recommend members sell their Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:…
-
10
What I Look For in Startup Deals
When I evaluate startup investment opportunities, I usually don’t pay too much attention to what industry the startup is in. Great startups can come from any industry. So the first thing I look at is traction. Traction usually means there’s some revenue coming in. But in some cases, it can mean other things. When evaluating social media companies, for example,…
-
11
Private Equity vs. Early-Stage Investing
Vanguard, a titan in the money management world, recently announced it will begin offering private equity products to its institutional clients. A number of people have asked me why Vanguard is getting into startup investing. The simple answer is this: It’s not. Private equity (as the term is used here) is very different from startup (early-stage) investing. But the confusion…
-
12
New Recommendation: Delee
I’m excited to announce our newest recommendation, Delee. Delee is building an early cancer detection and analysis system called CytoCatch. Delee’s system works by identifying what are known as circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in the blood and analyzing them using artificial intelligence. Delee’s system uses a technique commonly called a “liquid biopsy.” It uses a blood sample to detect cancer,…
-
13
Recommendation: Soar Robotics
The jeep was invented in 1940. About 600,000 were deployed in World War II. When the war ended, surplus jeeps were sold off for pennies on the dollar. In 2018, more than 240,000 Jeep Wranglers were sold. The Department of Defense developed the original GPS, or Global Positioning System, in the 1960s. During the Gulf War in the ’90s, soldiers…
-
14
Timber! Make Up to 30X on This Startup – and Save the World
We have big news for you from World Tree. It has dropped its minimum investment from $2,500 to $1,250 through Valentine’s Day. World Tree isn’t your usual startup investment. When you invest in World Tree, you’re not getting traditional equity. Instead, you’re sharing in the profits of this remarkable timber company. And if you’re concerned about the ethics of investing…
-
15
Tackling the Ethics of Investing
As investors, we have serious purchasing power. Our decision to invest – or not invest – in a company can determine its ability to stay in business. And though making money is your ultimate goal… there are other things to consider when you’re evaluating a potential investment. Is this company operating ethically? Does its executive team care whether or not…
-
16
Doubting the Dollar Goes Mainstream
Dear Member, I don’t usually pay too much attention to the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland. It’s a pompous event. And for the most part, nobody says anything interesting or controversial. But this year, there are a few stories worth paying attention to. Greg Jensen, a top Bridgewater Associates executive, said worldwide inflation and swollen U.S. budget…